Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Ethereum
30 historical signal(s) detected for Ethereum; 21 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (9 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-10 | 2025-09-17 | $4311.8584 | $4503.3988 | +4.44% | 104.44 |
| 2025-09-25 | 2025-10-02 | $4152.8526 | $4354.3788 | +4.85% | 109.51 |
| 2025-10-05 | 2025-10-12 | $4488.8029 | $3747.4570 | -16.52% | 91.42 |
| 2025-10-26 | 2025-11-02 | $3954.0041 | $3872.9261 | -2.05% | 89.55 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $3412.5432 | $3020.9358 | -11.48% | 79.27 |
| 2025-12-04 | 2025-12-11 | $3188.8819 | $3323.2920 | +4.21% | 82.61 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026-01-06 | $2934.3563 | $3227.3933 | +9.99% | 90.86 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $3085.4103 | $3292.5139 | +6.71% | 96.96 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $2055.7744 | $2048.3188 | -0.36% | 96.61 |
| 2026-03-16 | 2026-03-23 | $2182.0727 | $2055.6818 | -5.79% | 91.02 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $2235.8222 | $2326.4452 | +4.05% | 94.71 |
| 2026-04-22 | 2026-04-29 | $2326.6640 | $2292.7659 | -1.46% | 93.33 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2026-05-17 | $2327.1639 | $2180.0891 | -6.32% | 87.43 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $2128.8928 | $2110.5930 | -0.86% | 86.68 |
| 2026-06-02 | 2026-06-09 | $2003.5794 | $1690.4951 | -15.63% | 73.13 |
| 2026-07-03 | 2026-07-10 | $1698.5611 | $1744.6954 | +2.72% | 75.12 |
| 2026-07-27 | 2026-08-03 | $1952.9020 | $1882.9306 | -3.58% | 72.43 |
| 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-10 | $1882.9306 | $1908.9407 | +1.38% | 73.43 |
| 2026-08-12 | 2026-08-19 | $1880.4862 | $1916.3999 | +1.91% | 74.83 |
| 2026-08-19 | 2026-08-26 | $1916.3999 | $2442.0111 | +27.43% | 95.35 |
| 2026-08-26 | 2026-09-02 | $2442.0111 | $2417.6759 | -1.00% | 94.40 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Ethereum · Read the full methodology