Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Chainlink
63 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 35 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (28 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-10 | 2025-09-17 | $23.0572 | $23.4895 | +1.87% | 101.87 |
| 2025-09-17 | 2025-09-24 | $23.4895 | $21.5344 | -8.32% | 93.40 |
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $21.5344 | $21.3143 | -1.02% | 92.44 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2025-10-16 | $22.6277 | $18.0588 | -20.19% | 73.78 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025-10-24 | $17.4105 | $17.4232 | +0.07% | 73.83 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $18.5388 | $17.5990 | -5.07% | 70.09 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $15.2322 | $16.3589 | +7.40% | 75.27 |
| 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-19 | $15.2975 | $13.7755 | -9.95% | 67.78 |
| 2025-11-26 | 2025-12-03 | $13.0712 | $13.4923 | +3.22% | 69.97 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $13.4923 | $14.4164 | +6.85% | 74.76 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-17 | $14.4164 | $12.9239 | -10.35% | 67.02 |
| 2025-12-19 | 2025-12-26 | $11.9332 | $12.0612 | +1.07% | 67.74 |
| 2026-01-02 | 2026-01-09 | $12.6253 | $13.2182 | +4.70% | 70.92 |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026-01-24 | $14.2519 | $13.0317 | -8.56% | 64.85 |
| 2026-01-26 | 2026-02-02 | $12.1012 | $9.9172 | -18.05% | 53.14 |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026-02-11 | $9.9099 | $8.5728 | -13.49% | 45.97 |
| 2026-02-17 | 2026-02-24 | $10.0301 | $9.1291 | -8.98% | 41.84 |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026-03-04 | $9.1893 | $9.6488 | +5.00% | 43.94 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $9.8743 | $9.0064 | -8.79% | 40.07 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-20 | $9.8939 | $9.7686 | -1.27% | 39.57 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-30 | $9.5479 | $8.4123 | -11.89% | 34.86 |
| 2026-03-30 | 2026-04-06 | $8.4123 | $8.8978 | +5.77% | 36.87 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2026-04-19 | $9.0685 | $9.2849 | +2.39% | 37.75 |
| 2026-04-22 | 2026-04-29 | $9.3989 | $9.2416 | -1.67% | 37.12 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2026-05-10 | $9.1733 | $10.3738 | +13.09% | 41.98 |
| 2026-05-13 | 2026-05-20 | $10.2808 | $9.4396 | -8.18% | 38.54 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $9.1243 | $8.3279 | -8.73% | 35.18 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-22 | $8.1720 | $7.7761 | -4.84% | 33.47 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $7.3499 | $7.6349 | +3.88% | 34.77 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-17 | $7.7292 | $8.3346 | +7.83% | 37.50 |
| 2026-07-21 | 2026-07-28 | $8.5813 | $8.3723 | -2.44% | 36.58 |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-05 | $8.4406 | $8.1434 | -3.52% | 35.29 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-15 | $8.1815 | $8.9646 | +9.57% | 38.67 |
| 2026-08-19 | 2026-08-26 | $9.5291 | $11.2897 | +18.48% | 45.82 |
| 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $11.3193 | $12.7430 | +12.58% | 51.58 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Chainlink · Read the full methodology