Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Cardano
58 historical signal(s) detected for Cardano; 33 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (25 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | 2025-09-20 | $0.9176 | $0.8907 | -2.93% | 97.07 |
| 2025-09-21 | 2025-09-28 | $0.8939 | $0.7814 | -12.59% | 84.85 |
| 2025-10-14 | 2025-10-21 | $0.7299 | $0.6633 | -9.12% | 77.11 |
| 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-31 | $0.6431 | $0.6009 | -6.55% | 72.06 |
| 2025-11-02 | 2025-11-09 | $0.6131 | $0.5681 | -7.33% | 66.77 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $0.5447 | $0.4626 | -15.06% | 56.71 |
| 2025-11-26 | 2025-12-03 | $0.4216 | $0.4336 | +2.85% | 58.33 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $0.4336 | $0.4702 | +8.46% | 63.26 |
| 2025-12-19 | 2025-12-26 | $0.3514 | $0.3432 | -2.35% | 61.78 |
| 2026-01-02 | 2026-01-09 | $0.3568 | $0.3960 | +10.97% | 68.56 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026-01-18 | $0.4050 | $0.3968 | -2.03% | 67.17 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026-01-27 | $0.3777 | $0.3645 | -3.50% | 64.81 |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026-02-11 | $0.3055 | $0.2624 | -14.12% | 55.66 |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026-03-04 | $0.2765 | $0.2822 | +2.06% | 56.81 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $0.2904 | $0.2628 | -9.48% | 51.42 |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026-03-19 | $0.2628 | $0.2871 | +9.24% | 56.17 |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-04-01 | $0.2849 | $0.2423 | -14.95% | 47.77 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $0.2639 | $0.2400 | -9.08% | 43.44 |
| 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-23 | $0.2465 | $0.2485 | +0.82% | 43.79 |
| 2026-04-24 | 2026-05-01 | $0.2499 | $0.2462 | -1.50% | 43.14 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-08 | $0.2462 | $0.2628 | +6.75% | 46.05 |
| 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-21 | $0.2647 | $0.2490 | -5.93% | 43.32 |
| 2026-05-22 | 2026-05-29 | $0.2502 | $0.2347 | -6.23% | 40.62 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $0.2127 | $0.1652 | -22.33% | 31.55 |
| 2026-06-11 | 2026-06-18 | $0.1606 | $0.1667 | +3.82% | 32.76 |
| 2026-07-01 | 2026-07-08 | $0.1442 | $0.1746 | +21.09% | 39.66 |
| 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-17 | $0.1665 | $0.1607 | -3.46% | 38.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2026-07-25 | $0.1667 | $0.1638 | -1.75% | 37.62 |
| 2026-07-29 | 2026-08-05 | $0.1618 | $0.1928 | +19.19% | 44.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | 2026-08-16 | $0.1994 | $0.1763 | -11.58% | 39.64 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $0.1870 | $0.2124 | +13.56% | 45.02 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2026-09-09 | $0.1966 | $0.2194 | +11.60% | 50.24 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.