Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Rises to +0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding rises to +0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Avalanche
64 historical signal(s) detected for Avalanche; 32 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (32 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | 2025-09-20 | $28.9703 | $33.7593 | +16.53% | 116.53 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025-10-04 | $29.0496 | $31.3682 | +7.98% | 125.83 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2025-10-16 | $28.8180 | $21.9169 | -23.95% | 95.70 |
| 2025-10-21 | 2025-10-28 | $20.3531 | $20.3248 | -0.14% | 95.57 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $17.7863 | $15.1362 | -14.90% | 81.33 |
| 2025-11-18 | 2025-11-25 | $14.5006 | $13.8915 | -4.20% | 77.91 |
| 2025-11-26 | 2025-12-03 | $14.1752 | $13.6386 | -3.79% | 74.96 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $13.6386 | $14.6159 | +7.17% | 80.33 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-17 | $14.6159 | $12.3382 | -15.58% | 67.81 |
| 2025-12-24 | 2025-12-31 | $12.1792 | $12.5593 | +3.12% | 69.93 |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-07 | $12.5593 | $14.5788 | +16.08% | 81.18 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $13.8070 | $13.6108 | -1.42% | 80.02 |
| 2026-02-17 | 2026-02-24 | $9.3395 | $8.4540 | -9.48% | 72.44 |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026-03-04 | $8.3738 | $9.2360 | +10.30% | 79.89 |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026-03-11 | $9.2360 | $9.5808 | +3.73% | 82.88 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-20 | $9.7257 | $9.5430 | -1.88% | 81.32 |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026-03-28 | $9.5785 | $8.7793 | -8.34% | 74.53 |
| 2026-03-30 | 2026-04-06 | $8.5979 | $9.1521 | +6.45% | 79.34 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $9.4585 | $9.3153 | -1.51% | 78.14 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-28 | $9.2787 | $9.2663 | -0.13% | 78.03 |
| 2026-04-29 | 2026-05-06 | $9.1727 | $9.4042 | +2.52% | 80.00 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $10.2277 | $9.1923 | -10.12% | 71.90 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2026-05-26 | $9.2378 | $9.2988 | +0.66% | 72.38 |
| 2026-06-27 | 2026-07-04 | $6.6154 | $6.9442 | +4.97% | 75.97 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2026-07-12 | $6.9592 | $6.5461 | -5.94% | 71.46 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $6.7022 | $6.5642 | -2.06% | 69.99 |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $6.2993 | $6.3784 | +1.26% | 70.87 |
| 2026-08-02 | 2026-08-09 | $6.1869 | $6.4764 | +4.68% | 74.19 |
| 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-20 | $6.3134 | $6.7745 | +7.30% | 79.61 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $6.7745 | $7.4403 | +9.83% | 87.43 |
| 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $7.2281 | $8.0743 | +11.71% | 97.67 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Avalanche · Read the full methodology