Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Falls to -0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding falls to -0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Stellar
61 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 35 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (26 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-22 | $0.3896 | $0.3800 | -2.47% | 97.53 |
| 2025-09-22 | 2025-09-29 | $0.3800 | $0.3676 | -3.25% | 94.36 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.3199 | $0.3087 | -3.52% | 91.03 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025-10-25 | $0.3087 | $0.3195 | +3.50% | 94.22 |
| 2025-10-28 | 2025-11-04 | $0.3226 | $0.2781 | -13.79% | 81.23 |
| 2025-11-10 | 2025-11-17 | $0.2850 | $0.2541 | -10.85% | 72.42 |
| 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-26 | $0.2559 | $0.2520 | -1.50% | 71.33 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $0.2484 | $0.2371 | -4.56% | 68.08 |
| 2025-12-11 | 2025-12-18 | $0.2501 | $0.2104 | -15.89% | 57.26 |
| 2025-12-19 | 2025-12-26 | $0.2070 | $0.2098 | +1.34% | 58.02 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026-01-06 | $0.2159 | $0.2534 | +17.36% | 68.10 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2026-01-19 | $0.2239 | $0.2129 | -4.92% | 64.75 |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026-01-26 | $0.2129 | $0.2036 | -4.37% | 61.92 |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-05 | $0.2103 | $0.1712 | -18.58% | 50.41 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $0.1649 | $0.1566 | -5.04% | 47.87 |
| 2026-02-15 | 2026-02-22 | $0.1744 | $0.1611 | -7.65% | 44.21 |
| 2026-02-24 | 2026-03-03 | $0.1520 | $0.1556 | +2.37% | 45.26 |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026-03-13 | $0.1566 | $0.1596 | +1.95% | 46.14 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-30 | $0.1563 | $0.1645 | +5.25% | 48.56 |
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-07 | $0.1675 | $0.1559 | -6.92% | 45.20 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $0.1575 | $0.1580 | +0.28% | 45.33 |
| 2026-04-28 | 2026-05-05 | $0.1663 | $0.1576 | -5.23% | 42.96 |
| 2026-05-13 | 2026-05-20 | $0.1623 | $0.1434 | -11.66% | 37.95 |
| 2026-05-20 | 2026-05-27 | $0.1434 | $0.1474 | +2.84% | 39.03 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $0.1636 | $0.2089 | +27.63% | 49.81 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $0.2029 | $0.1879 | -7.39% | 46.13 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-23 | $0.2134 | $0.2025 | -5.12% | 43.76 |
| 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-02 | $0.1852 | $0.1969 | +6.34% | 46.54 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $0.1969 | $0.1811 | -8.02% | 42.80 |
| 2026-07-14 | 2026-07-21 | $0.1806 | $0.1884 | +4.29% | 44.64 |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-30 | $0.1874 | $0.1718 | -8.33% | 40.92 |
| 2026-07-30 | 2026-08-06 | $0.1718 | $0.1648 | -4.05% | 39.27 |
| 2026-08-10 | 2026-08-17 | $0.1624 | $0.1563 | -3.76% | 37.79 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-25 | $0.1580 | $0.1936 | +22.51% | 46.30 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.