Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Falls to -0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding falls to -0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Ethereum
18 historical signal(s) detected for Ethereum; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $3841.6737 | $3835.0072 | -0.17% | 99.83 |
| 2026-01-26 | 2026-02-02 | $2812.9354 | $2264.3454 | -19.50% | 80.36 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $1823.8053 | $1947.8399 | +6.80% | 85.82 |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-20 | $1947.8399 | $1949.6068 | +0.09% | 85.90 |
| 2026-02-23 | 2026-03-02 | $1886.4504 | $1939.7957 | +2.83% | 88.33 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $1939.3918 | $2182.0727 | +12.51% | 99.38 |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026-04-03 | $2059.5891 | $2052.3362 | -0.35% | 99.03 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2026-04-25 | $2421.2906 | $2315.7002 | -4.36% | 94.71 |
| 2026-04-28 | 2026-05-05 | $2303.8843 | $2346.1713 | +1.84% | 96.45 |
| 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-14 | $2351.0137 | $2258.4839 | -3.94% | 92.66 |
| 2026-06-07 | 2026-06-14 | $1568.7028 | $1680.3056 | +7.11% | 99.25 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Ethereum · Read the full methodology