Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Falls to -0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding falls to -0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Chainlink
22 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 16 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | 2025-09-29 | $22.9798 | $21.6765 | -5.67% | 94.33 |
| 2025-10-08 | 2025-10-15 | $21.8340 | $19.1197 | -12.43% | 82.60 |
| 2025-10-21 | 2025-10-28 | $18.6583 | $18.2073 | -2.42% | 80.61 |
| 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-06 | $18.1211 | $15.1340 | -16.48% | 67.32 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $15.1404 | $13.5135 | -10.75% | 60.08 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $12.9745 | $13.6391 | +5.12% | 63.16 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-17 | $14.4164 | $12.9239 | -10.35% | 56.62 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-25 | $12.2552 | $12.2686 | +0.11% | 56.69 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $12.6694 | $12.7337 | +0.51% | 56.97 |
| 2026-02-02 | 2026-02-09 | $9.9172 | $9.7767 | -1.42% | 56.17 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $9.8743 | $9.0064 | -8.79% | 51.23 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $9.6325 | $9.1218 | -5.30% | 48.51 |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026-04-03 | $9.6516 | $8.6414 | -10.47% | 43.44 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $8.8512 | $9.2658 | +4.68% | 45.47 |
| 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | $9.2960 | $9.1118 | -1.98% | 44.57 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2026-05-10 | $9.1733 | $10.3738 | +13.09% | 50.40 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Chainlink · Read the full methodology