Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Falls to -0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding falls to -0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Bitcoin Cash
37 historical signal(s) detected for Bitcoin Cash; 24 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (13 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $499.5693 | $468.5359 | -6.21% | 93.79 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025-11-08 | $535.4962 | $513.3722 | -4.13% | 89.91 |
| 2025-11-09 | 2025-11-16 | $494.8843 | $501.7417 | +1.39% | 91.16 |
| 2025-11-20 | 2025-11-27 | $485.7023 | $543.8084 | +11.96% | 102.06 |
| 2025-12-05 | 2025-12-12 | $574.8629 | $574.1786 | -0.12% | 101.94 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2025-12-28 | $592.2760 | $622.9931 | +5.19% | 107.23 |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-05 | $621.5134 | $641.2780 | +3.18% | 110.64 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2026-01-18 | $641.8532 | $593.8955 | -7.47% | 102.37 |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026-01-26 | $587.9506 | $571.8263 | -2.74% | 99.57 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $508.0329 | $525.9742 | +3.53% | 103.08 |
| 2026-02-23 | 2026-03-02 | $542.5587 | $445.7691 | -17.84% | 84.69 |
| 2026-03-10 | 2026-03-17 | $448.9101 | $479.1178 | +6.73% | 90.39 |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026-04-03 | $465.2478 | $445.3382 | -4.28% | 86.52 |
| 2026-04-03 | 2026-04-10 | $445.3382 | $443.4456 | -0.42% | 86.16 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2026-04-19 | $438.3478 | $444.1892 | +1.33% | 87.30 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2026-05-16 | $450.6044 | $426.8698 | -5.27% | 82.71 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $245.3537 | $205.1507 | -16.39% | 69.15 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-23 | $224.4576 | $197.2654 | -12.11% | 60.78 |
| 2026-06-29 | 2026-07-06 | $190.6555 | $244.0184 | +27.99% | 77.79 |
| 2026-07-12 | 2026-07-19 | $243.9403 | $220.0783 | -9.78% | 70.18 |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-02 | $209.6636 | $207.9297 | -0.83% | 69.60 |
| 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-20 | $212.4825 | $213.2770 | +0.37% | 69.86 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Bitcoin Cash · Read the full methodology