Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After Funding Falls to -0.01%
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after funding falls to -0.01%, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Avalanche
58 historical signal(s) detected for Avalanche; 34 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (24 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | 2025-10-11 | $31.3682 | $20.8648 | -33.48% | 66.52 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $20.8648 | $19.9597 | -4.34% | 63.63 |
| 2025-10-20 | 2025-10-27 | $20.5929 | $20.8292 | +1.15% | 64.36 |
| 2025-10-28 | 2025-11-04 | $20.3248 | $16.6429 | -18.12% | 52.70 |
| 2025-11-10 | 2025-11-17 | $17.7691 | $15.1548 | -14.71% | 44.95 |
| 2025-11-21 | 2025-11-28 | $13.8139 | $15.0210 | +8.74% | 48.87 |
| 2025-12-05 | 2025-12-12 | $14.3974 | $13.4270 | -6.74% | 45.58 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2025-12-21 | $13.3846 | $12.2085 | -8.79% | 41.58 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2025-12-28 | $12.2085 | $12.6893 | +3.94% | 43.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026-01-06 | $12.3607 | $14.4641 | +17.02% | 50.57 |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026-01-14 | $14.5788 | $14.7919 | +1.46% | 51.31 |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026-01-23 | $13.8327 | $12.2528 | -11.42% | 45.45 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026-01-31 | $12.1790 | $10.8979 | -10.52% | 40.67 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $8.3277 | $8.9723 | +7.74% | 43.81 |
| 2026-02-16 | 2026-02-23 | $9.3501 | $8.5389 | -8.68% | 40.01 |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026-03-06 | $9.3538 | $9.4466 | +0.99% | 40.41 |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026-03-13 | $9.4466 | $9.7257 | +2.95% | 41.60 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $9.7438 | $9.5785 | -1.70% | 40.90 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $9.1963 | $8.7560 | -4.79% | 38.94 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $9.1290 | $9.0464 | -0.90% | 38.59 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2026-04-18 | $9.3956 | $9.7368 | +3.63% | 39.99 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2026-04-25 | $9.7368 | $9.3965 | -3.50% | 38.59 |
| 2026-04-26 | 2026-05-03 | $9.3644 | $9.1818 | -1.95% | 37.84 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2026-05-10 | $9.1818 | $9.9642 | +8.52% | 41.06 |
| 2026-05-13 | 2026-05-20 | $9.8333 | $9.0975 | -7.48% | 37.99 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $9.0297 | $8.0470 | -10.88% | 33.85 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $7.6985 | $6.6369 | -13.79% | 29.19 |
| 2026-06-14 | 2026-06-21 | $6.7150 | $6.2363 | -7.13% | 27.11 |
| 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-02 | $6.4529 | $6.6599 | +3.21% | 27.98 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2026-07-12 | $6.9592 | $6.5461 | -5.94% | 26.31 |
| 2026-07-12 | 2026-07-19 | $6.5461 | $6.5677 | +0.33% | 26.40 |
| 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $6.4591 | $6.7356 | +4.28% | 27.53 |
| 2026-08-02 | 2026-08-09 | $6.1869 | $6.4764 | +4.68% | 28.82 |
| 2026-08-12 | 2026-08-19 | $6.3155 | $6.3285 | +0.21% | 28.88 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Avalanche · Read the full methodology