Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After an All-Time High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after an all-time high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Zcash

5 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 5 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades5
Win rate100.0%
Average return / trade+18.08%
Compounded total return+124.50%
Max drawdown0.00%
Buy & hold, same period+2150.74%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-09-12 2025-09-19 $47.9759 $50.5920 +5.45% 105.45
2025-09-24 2025-10-01 $54.9860 $74.1061 +34.77% 142.12
2025-10-27 2025-11-03 $327.5101 $417.7495 +27.55% 181.28
2026-08-22 2026-08-29 $733.4660 $801.3777 +9.26% 198.07
2026-09-04 2026-09-11 $952.6663 $1079.8141 +13.35% 224.50

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Zcash ยท Read the full methodology