Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After an All-Time High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after an all-time high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for LEO Token

4 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 4 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades4
Win rate25.0%
Average return / trade-1.61%
Compounded total return-6.33%
Max drawdown-6.33%
Buy & hold, same period+4.65%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-09-12 2025-09-19 $9.5968 $9.5287 -0.71% 99.29
2025-09-30 2025-10-07 $9.6242 $9.6507 +0.27% 99.56
2025-11-27 2025-12-04 $9.6938 $9.5313 -1.68% 97.89
2026-04-02 2026-04-09 $10.4959 $10.0428 -4.32% 93.67

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for LEO Token ยท Read the full methodology