Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After an All-Time High

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after an all-time high, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Hyperliquid

3 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 3 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades3
Win rate100.0%
Average return / trade+8.72%
Compounded total return+27.99%
Max drawdown0.00%
Buy & hold, same period+41.72%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-09-12 2025-09-19 $57.0943 $58.6130 +2.66% 102.66
2026-05-24 2026-05-31 $58.6677 $68.2502 +16.33% 119.43
2026-08-22 2026-08-29 $75.5007 $80.9152 +7.17% 127.99

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Hyperliquid ยท Read the full methodology