Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After 7 Consecutive Red Days

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after 7 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Stellar

3 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 3 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades3
Win rate33.3%
Average return / trade+2.83%
Compounded total return+8.20%
Max drawdown-2.74%
Buy & hold, same period-9.34%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-12-17 2025-12-24 $0.2195 $0.2171 -1.09% 98.91
2026-01-13 2026-01-20 $0.2193 $0.2156 -1.67% 97.26
2026-06-26 2026-07-03 $0.1789 $0.1990 +11.25% 108.20

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Stellar ยท Read the full methodology