Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 5% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule โ buy after a 5% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin
15 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | 2025-11-08 | $47.0869 | $54.0166 | +14.72% | 114.72 |
| 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-26 | $61.3874 | $58.0783 | -5.39% | 108.53 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $61.5310 | $61.7512 | +0.36% | 108.92 |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-10 | $51.0633 | $52.8095 | +3.42% | 112.65 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $50.0454 | $51.6923 | +3.29% | 116.35 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $51.6923 | $55.4176 | +7.21% | 124.74 |
| 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-21 | $54.7301 | $54.7747 | +0.08% | 124.84 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-08 | $57.1763 | $58.9176 | +3.05% | 128.64 |
| 2026-06-10 | 2026-06-17 | $50.9637 | $53.8487 | +5.66% | 135.92 |
| 2026-07-01 | 2026-07-08 | $53.9198 | $56.2468 | +4.32% | 141.79 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $59.5563 | $73.1488 | +22.82% | 174.15 |
| 2026-09-09 | 2026-09-16 | $81.2522 | $77.7505 | -4.31% | 166.65 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin ยท Read the full methodology