Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 5% One-Day Rise

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 5% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin

15 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades12
Win rate83.3%
Average return / trade+4.60%
Compounded total return+66.65%
Max drawdown-5.39%
Buy & hold, same period+65.12%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-11-01 2025-11-08 $47.0869 $54.0166 +14.72% 114.72
2025-11-19 2025-11-26 $61.3874 $58.0783 -5.39% 108.53
2025-12-03 2025-12-10 $61.5310 $61.7512 +0.36% 108.92
2026-02-03 2026-02-10 $51.0633 $52.8095 +3.42% 112.65
2026-02-26 2026-03-05 $50.0454 $51.6923 +3.29% 116.35
2026-03-05 2026-03-12 $51.6923 $55.4176 +7.21% 124.74
2026-04-14 2026-04-21 $54.7301 $54.7747 +0.08% 124.84
2026-05-01 2026-05-08 $57.1763 $58.9176 +3.05% 128.64
2026-06-10 2026-06-17 $50.9637 $53.8487 +5.66% 135.92
2026-07-01 2026-07-08 $53.9198 $56.2468 +4.32% 141.79
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $59.5563 $73.1488 +22.82% 174.15
2026-09-09 2026-09-16 $81.2522 $77.7505 -4.31% 166.65

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin ยท Read the full methodology