Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 5% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 5% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
46 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 27 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (19 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-18 | 2025-09-25 | $57.7521 | $45.5613 | -21.11% | 78.89 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025-10-04 | $44.8466 | $49.4921 | +10.36% | 87.06 |
| 2025-10-13 | 2025-10-20 | $39.7497 | $37.4117 | -5.88% | 81.94 |
| 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-31 | $40.1599 | $45.4380 | +13.14% | 92.71 |
| 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-13 | $41.3223 | $38.3048 | -7.30% | 85.94 |
| 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-01 | $31.7971 | $31.9166 | +0.38% | 86.26 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $33.8731 | $27.9467 | -17.50% | 71.17 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $24.8744 | $25.7837 | +3.66% | 73.77 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2026-01-03 | $25.7837 | $24.5861 | -4.64% | 70.35 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2026-01-12 | $26.7045 | $24.6591 | -7.66% | 64.96 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $25.8407 | $21.0921 | -18.38% | 53.02 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026-01-31 | $22.7085 | $30.5759 | +34.65% | 71.39 |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-10 | $33.2521 | $31.3538 | -5.71% | 67.32 |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-20 | $31.1509 | $29.0772 | -6.66% | 62.83 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026-03-08 | $31.2755 | $30.3868 | -2.84% | 61.05 |
| 2026-03-10 | 2026-03-17 | $34.6599 | $40.7693 | +17.63% | 71.81 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $40.7693 | $37.3734 | -8.33% | 65.83 |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-04-01 | $40.3380 | $36.4938 | -9.53% | 59.55 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $38.7571 | $43.5951 | +12.48% | 66.99 |
| 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-22 | $44.1587 | $58.5893 | +32.68% | 88.88 |
| 2026-05-24 | 2026-05-31 | $58.6677 | $68.2502 | +16.33% | 103.40 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-06-07 | $68.2502 | $56.5968 | -17.07% | 85.74 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $59.6133 | $63.8873 | +7.17% | 91.89 |
| 2026-06-15 | 2026-06-22 | $63.8873 | $66.9597 | +4.81% | 96.31 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-07 | $66.7967 | $70.5673 | +5.64% | 101.75 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $69.6037 | $82.2983 | +18.24% | 120.30 |
| 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $84.1576 | $85.1423 | +1.17% | 121.71 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology