Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 5% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 5% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for BNB
12 historical signal(s) detected for BNB; 10 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (2 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | 2025-09-28 | $1043.2708 | $968.5984 | -7.16% | 92.84 |
| 2025-10-03 | 2025-10-10 | $1091.1638 | $1255.6065 | +15.07% | 106.83 |
| 2025-10-13 | 2025-10-20 | $1303.2674 | $1110.1648 | -14.82% | 91.00 |
| 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-31 | $1127.4784 | $1077.7429 | -4.41% | 86.99 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $877.0156 | $897.3845 | +2.32% | 89.01 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $654.5520 | $618.9261 | -5.44% | 84.17 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $629.0621 | $658.3187 | +4.65% | 88.08 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-06-07 | $719.2840 | $574.2854 | -20.16% | 70.32 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $603.8984 | $616.2914 | +2.05% | 71.77 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $725.0808 | $708.4278 | -2.30% | 70.12 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.