Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 3x Volume Spike

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 3x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Sui

4 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 4 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades4
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade-5.34%
Compounded total return-21.74%
Max drawdown-26.72%
Buy & hold, same period-70.00%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-11 2025-10-18 $2.6108 $2.4397 -6.55% 93.45
2026-05-11 2026-05-18 $1.3310 $1.0438 -21.58% 73.28
2026-08-21 2026-08-28 $0.7335 $0.7798 +6.31% 77.91
2026-08-28 2026-09-04 $0.7798 $0.7833 +0.45% 78.26

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Sui ยท Read the full methodology