Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 30% 30-Day Correction

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 30% 30-day correction, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Zcash

7 historical signal(s) detected for Zcash; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (1 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade+1.78%
Compounded total return-1.65%
Max drawdown-37.67%
Buy & hold, same period+16.86%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-12-07 2025-12-14 $341.6951 $442.9134 +29.62% 129.62
2025-12-15 2025-12-22 $404.3998 $441.5361 +9.18% 141.53
2026-01-29 2026-02-05 $370.2155 $251.1583 -32.16% 96.01
2026-02-23 2026-03-02 $232.0731 $213.2087 -8.13% 88.21
2026-06-07 2026-06-14 $362.1606 $420.3855 +16.08% 102.39
2026-06-24 2026-07-01 $415.6996 $399.3200 -3.94% 98.35

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Zcash ยท Read the full methodology