Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin

24 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 20 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (4 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades20
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade+1.59%
Compounded total return+28.76%
Max drawdown-22.53%
Buy & hold, same period+27.78%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-09-16 2025-09-23 $43.6600 $42.2352 -3.26% 96.74
2025-09-24 2025-10-01 $41.8168 $41.9204 +0.25% 96.98
2025-10-12 2025-10-19 $41.7847 $41.0205 -1.83% 95.20
2025-10-30 2025-11-06 $41.9055 $52.7158 +25.80% 119.76
2025-12-01 2025-12-08 $57.9779 $60.7217 +4.73% 125.43
2025-12-17 2025-12-24 $57.9815 $56.6795 -2.25% 122.61
2026-01-09 2026-01-16 $55.7392 $55.7999 +0.11% 122.75
2026-02-01 2026-02-08 $48.8986 $51.3872 +5.09% 128.99
2026-02-13 2026-02-20 $49.3735 $49.1236 -0.51% 128.34
2026-03-20 2026-03-27 $53.6289 $51.2926 -4.36% 122.75
2026-03-27 2026-04-03 $51.2926 $51.2311 -0.12% 122.60
2026-04-04 2026-04-11 $51.1633 $53.0855 +3.76% 127.21
2026-04-30 2026-05-07 $53.8529 $59.5587 +10.60% 140.69
2026-05-14 2026-05-21 $58.2954 $57.0843 -2.08% 137.76
2026-05-29 2026-06-05 $53.8139 $45.7253 -15.03% 117.06
2026-06-19 2026-06-26 $51.9307 $48.3531 -6.89% 108.99
2026-06-26 2026-07-03 $48.3531 $55.2994 +14.37% 124.65
2026-07-14 2026-07-21 $54.5866 $56.6923 +3.86% 129.46
2026-07-25 2026-08-01 $55.8732 $54.8184 -1.89% 127.01
2026-08-12 2026-08-19 $55.0293 $55.7870 +1.38% 128.76

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin ยท Read the full methodology