Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Solana
29 historical signal(s) detected for Solana; 24 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $213.6986 | $208.8580 | -2.27% | 97.73 |
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $177.9843 | $187.6503 | +5.43% | 103.04 |
| 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-06 | $194.0727 | $162.4654 | -16.29% | 86.26 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-21 | $144.6022 | $133.6111 | -7.60% | 79.70 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $128.5723 | $137.4006 | +6.87% | 85.18 |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025-12-07 | $136.0233 | $132.2606 | -2.77% | 82.82 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2025-12-14 | $132.2606 | $133.1703 | +0.69% | 83.39 |
| 2025-12-25 | 2026-01-01 | $122.4602 | $124.5211 | +1.68% | 84.79 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026-01-27 | $133.4132 | $124.1865 | -6.92% | 78.93 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $117.4775 | $86.9776 | -25.96% | 58.44 |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-18 | $82.9768 | $85.3436 | +2.85% | 60.10 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026-03-15 | $83.6230 | $88.2240 | +5.50% | 63.41 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $89.1381 | $86.5600 | -2.89% | 61.58 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2026-04-05 | $82.1077 | $80.9065 | -1.46% | 60.68 |
| 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-27 | $83.5092 | $86.9373 | +4.11% | 63.17 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $83.0356 | $89.1654 | +7.38% | 67.83 |
| 2026-05-18 | 2026-05-25 | $85.1828 | $85.2230 | +0.05% | 67.86 |
| 2026-05-27 | 2026-06-03 | $83.6675 | $74.1390 | -11.39% | 60.13 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $74.1390 | $64.9238 | -12.43% | 52.66 |
| 2026-06-19 | 2026-06-26 | $69.6488 | $67.6320 | -2.90% | 51.13 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2026-07-25 | $75.0020 | $73.9078 | -1.46% | 50.39 |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $73.9078 | $72.7950 | -1.51% | 49.63 |
| 2026-08-17 | 2026-08-24 | $74.5477 | $95.4076 | +27.98% | 63.52 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.