Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Rain
28 historical signal(s) detected for Rain; 23 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-14 | 2025-09-21 | $0.0023 | $0.0038 | +63.61% | 163.61 |
| 2025-10-05 | 2025-10-12 | $0.0038 | $0.0037 | -1.19% | 161.65 |
| 2025-10-16 | 2025-10-23 | $0.0038 | $0.0032 | -14.96% | 137.48 |
| 2025-10-23 | 2025-10-30 | $0.0032 | $0.0031 | -4.04% | 131.93 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $0.0033 | $0.0035 | +5.20% | 138.78 |
| 2025-11-28 | 2025-12-05 | $0.0072 | $0.0078 | +8.79% | 150.99 |
| 2025-12-23 | 2025-12-30 | $0.0072 | $0.0080 | +11.50% | 168.36 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $0.0084 | $0.0095 | +12.76% | 189.85 |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026-01-26 | $0.0091 | $0.0095 | +4.97% | 199.28 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $0.0095 | $0.0088 | -7.73% | 183.88 |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-20 | $0.0099 | $0.0098 | -1.16% | 181.74 |
| 2026-02-23 | 2026-03-02 | $0.0094 | $0.0091 | -2.53% | 177.15 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $0.0089 | $0.0091 | +2.92% | 182.33 |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026-03-28 | $0.0088 | $0.0083 | -5.18% | 172.89 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2026-04-05 | $0.0081 | $0.0074 | -8.67% | 157.90 |
| 2026-04-06 | 2026-04-13 | $0.0066 | $0.0080 | +20.07% | 189.59 |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-12 | $0.0075 | $0.0075 | +0.75% | 191.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | 2026-06-09 | $0.0135 | $0.0133 | -1.77% | 187.62 |
| 2026-06-28 | 2026-07-05 | $0.0156 | $0.0154 | -1.13% | 185.50 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2026-07-25 | $0.0141 | $0.0141 | -0.37% | 184.82 |
| 2026-08-02 | 2026-08-09 | $0.0123 | $0.0127 | +3.03% | 190.42 |
| 2026-09-09 | 2026-09-16 | $0.0162 | $0.0140 | -13.27% | 165.16 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.