Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
27 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 23 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (4 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-15 | 2025-09-22 | $53.7037 | $50.8331 | -5.35% | 94.65 |
| 2025-09-22 | 2025-09-29 | $50.8331 | $47.1639 | -7.22% | 87.82 |
| 2025-10-06 | 2025-10-13 | $48.1753 | $39.7497 | -17.49% | 72.46 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025-10-24 | $36.7679 | $40.1599 | +9.23% | 79.15 |
| 2025-11-02 | 2025-11-09 | $43.2267 | $40.0526 | -7.34% | 73.34 |
| 2025-11-13 | 2025-11-20 | $38.3048 | $38.7453 | +1.15% | 74.18 |
| 2025-11-23 | 2025-11-30 | $29.9865 | $34.3910 | +14.69% | 85.08 |
| 2025-12-02 | 2025-12-09 | $31.0863 | $29.4728 | -5.19% | 80.66 |
| 2025-12-17 | 2025-12-24 | $26.7802 | $23.9584 | -10.54% | 72.16 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $25.1091 | $25.1181 | +0.04% | 72.19 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $21.0921 | $30.7818 | +45.94% | 105.35 |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026-02-15 | $31.4764 | $31.8791 | +1.28% | 106.70 |
| 2026-02-24 | 2026-03-03 | $26.4557 | $32.8655 | +24.23% | 132.55 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $37.3734 | $36.8313 | -1.45% | 130.62 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2026-04-08 | $36.4938 | $38.7571 | +6.20% | 138.73 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $39.9505 | $43.1093 | +7.91% | 149.69 |
| 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-21 | $38.8141 | $54.7628 | +41.09% | 211.20 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $57.8225 | $74.5031 | +28.85% | 272.13 |
| 2026-06-07 | 2026-06-14 | $56.5968 | $60.6895 | +7.23% | 291.81 |
| 2026-06-24 | 2026-07-01 | $62.1166 | $64.9679 | +4.59% | 305.21 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-16 | $67.5971 | $66.8295 | -1.14% | 301.74 |
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-31 | $57.5093 | $55.8422 | -2.90% | 292.99 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology