Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Chainlink
27 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 22 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-16 | 2025-09-23 | $23.5744 | $21.6716 | -8.07% | 91.93 |
| 2025-10-06 | 2025-10-13 | $21.9950 | $19.0301 | -13.48% | 79.54 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025-10-24 | $17.4105 | $17.4232 | +0.07% | 79.59 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-21 | $14.5306 | $12.9302 | -11.01% | 70.83 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $12.1179 | $13.1326 | +8.37% | 76.76 |
| 2025-11-30 | 2025-12-07 | $12.9925 | $13.9152 | +7.10% | 82.21 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $13.6404 | $12.5263 | -8.17% | 75.49 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $12.0612 | $12.6253 | +4.68% | 79.03 |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026-01-27 | $13.2678 | $12.6236 | -4.86% | 75.19 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $11.2028 | $9.1344 | -18.46% | 61.31 |
| 2026-02-20 | 2026-02-27 | $9.7815 | $9.8097 | +0.29% | 61.48 |
| 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-09 | $9.4274 | $9.5326 | +1.12% | 62.17 |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026-03-28 | $9.1218 | $8.5574 | -6.19% | 58.32 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2026-04-05 | $8.4420 | $8.6977 | +3.03% | 60.09 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $9.1118 | $9.9964 | +9.71% | 65.92 |
| 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-21 | $10.2129 | $9.6245 | -5.76% | 62.12 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $8.9948 | $8.0063 | -10.99% | 55.30 |
| 2026-06-19 | 2026-06-26 | $8.0049 | $7.2396 | -9.56% | 50.01 |
| 2026-06-26 | 2026-07-03 | $7.2396 | $7.7381 | +6.89% | 53.45 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-16 | $7.6349 | $8.5347 | +11.79% | 59.75 |
| 2026-07-25 | 2026-08-01 | $8.3348 | $8.1637 | -2.05% | 58.53 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Chainlink · Read the full methodology