Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Red Days
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive red days, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Avalanche
31 historical signal(s) detected for Avalanche; 22 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (9 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | 2025-09-29 | $33.0506 | $30.0137 | -9.19% | 90.81 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025-10-24 | $20.9570 | $19.1297 | -8.72% | 82.89 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2025-11-21 | $16.0839 | $13.8139 | -14.11% | 71.19 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $13.3013 | $14.8529 | +11.66% | 79.50 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $13.7600 | $13.4556 | -2.21% | 77.74 |
| 2025-12-13 | 2025-12-20 | $13.1091 | $12.2516 | -6.54% | 72.65 |
| 2025-12-26 | 2026-01-02 | $12.0786 | $13.6475 | +12.99% | 82.09 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $13.8070 | $13.6108 | -1.42% | 80.93 |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026-01-24 | $13.6108 | $12.1790 | -10.52% | 72.41 |
| 2026-01-25 | 2026-02-01 | $12.1636 | $10.1577 | -16.49% | 60.47 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $8.3277 | $8.9723 | +7.74% | 65.15 |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-25 | $9.2405 | $8.3738 | -9.38% | 59.04 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026-03-15 | $9.0199 | $9.8089 | +8.75% | 64.21 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $9.5430 | $9.1473 | -4.15% | 61.54 |
| 2026-03-29 | 2026-04-05 | $8.7560 | $8.9922 | +2.70% | 63.20 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $9.1194 | $9.6121 | +5.40% | 66.62 |
| 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-21 | $9.7510 | $9.2873 | -4.76% | 63.45 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $8.9198 | $7.6985 | -13.69% | 54.76 |
| 2026-06-11 | 2026-06-18 | $6.3806 | $6.7589 | +5.93% | 58.01 |
| 2026-06-20 | 2026-06-27 | $5.8922 | $6.6154 | +12.27% | 65.13 |
| 2026-08-08 | 2026-08-15 | $6.4301 | $6.4720 | +0.65% | 65.55 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Avalanche · Read the full methodology