Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 3% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule โ buy after a 3% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin
28 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 21 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (7 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-02 | 2025-10-09 | $43.2046 | $44.4248 | +2.82% | 102.82 |
| 2025-10-13 | 2025-10-20 | $43.3638 | $41.4425 | -4.43% | 98.27 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025-11-08 | $47.0869 | $54.0166 | +14.72% | 112.73 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $54.0166 | $52.3430 | -3.10% | 109.24 |
| 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-26 | $61.3874 | $58.0783 | -5.39% | 103.35 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $61.5310 | $61.7512 | +0.36% | 103.72 |
| 2026-01-18 | 2026-01-25 | $56.9120 | $49.8970 | -12.33% | 90.93 |
| 2026-01-26 | 2026-02-02 | $51.4612 | $48.5773 | -5.60% | 85.84 |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-10 | $51.0633 | $52.8095 | +3.42% | 88.77 |
| 2026-02-17 | 2026-02-24 | $51.8223 | $47.8197 | -7.72% | 81.92 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $50.0454 | $51.6923 | +3.29% | 84.61 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $51.6923 | $55.4176 | +7.21% | 90.71 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $56.8588 | $54.1720 | -4.73% | 86.42 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $54.1720 | $51.3504 | -5.21% | 81.92 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $53.6154 | $54.4639 | +1.58% | 83.22 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-08 | $57.1763 | $58.9176 | +3.05% | 85.75 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $44.8209 | $53.1729 | +18.63% | 101.73 |
| 2026-07-01 | 2026-07-08 | $53.9198 | $56.2468 | +4.32% | 106.12 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $56.6320 | $57.6949 | +1.88% | 108.12 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $59.5563 | $73.1488 | +22.82% | 132.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $74.0742 | $79.2440 | +6.98% | 142.06 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
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