Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 3% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 3% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Solana
55 historical signal(s) detected for Solana; 33 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (22 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | 2025-09-18 | $224.0523 | $244.7149 | +9.22% | 109.22 |
| 2025-09-18 | 2025-09-25 | $244.7149 | $211.6243 | -13.52% | 94.45 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025-10-04 | $204.8154 | $233.0440 | +13.78% | 107.47 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2025-10-16 | $229.0916 | $193.9819 | -15.33% | 91.00 |
| 2025-10-19 | 2025-10-26 | $187.6503 | $193.9332 | +3.35% | 94.05 |
| 2025-10-27 | 2025-11-03 | $200.0216 | $187.6722 | -6.17% | 88.24 |
| 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-13 | $162.4654 | $153.2582 | -5.67% | 83.24 |
| 2025-11-19 | 2025-11-26 | $140.6209 | $138.9326 | -1.20% | 82.24 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $138.6722 | $137.8941 | -0.56% | 81.78 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-17 | $137.8941 | $129.0976 | -6.38% | 76.56 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $126.1940 | $122.1919 | -3.17% | 74.13 |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026-01-10 | $132.3168 | $135.8671 | +2.68% | 76.12 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $145.7386 | $126.1076 | -13.47% | 65.87 |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026-02-03 | $124.1865 | $104.3922 | -15.94% | 55.37 |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-10 | $104.3922 | $86.8027 | -16.85% | 46.04 |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026-02-21 | $84.4579 | $84.7978 | +0.40% | 46.23 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $88.0792 | $91.0730 | +3.40% | 47.80 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $91.0730 | $86.5582 | -4.96% | 45.43 |
| 2026-03-16 | 2026-03-23 | $92.8425 | $86.5100 | -6.82% | 42.33 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $91.6200 | $82.4461 | -10.01% | 38.09 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $85.7378 | $83.8194 | -2.24% | 37.24 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-24 | $89.0959 | $86.1401 | -3.32% | 36.00 |
| 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-14 | $89.1654 | $91.1181 | +2.19% | 36.79 |
| 2026-06-08 | 2026-06-15 | $66.4248 | $71.2182 | +7.22% | 39.45 |
| 2026-06-21 | 2026-06-28 | $73.1800 | $70.4048 | -3.79% | 37.95 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-07 | $75.0150 | $81.8884 | +9.16% | 41.43 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $77.8086 | $78.0882 | +0.36% | 41.58 |
| 2026-08-09 | 2026-08-16 | $75.9598 | $75.2798 | -0.90% | 41.20 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $85.3331 | $102.0489 | +19.59% | 49.28 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-03 | $102.0489 | $100.3906 | -1.62% | 48.48 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $103.9605 | $98.6313 | -5.13% | 45.99 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.