Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 3% One-Day Rise
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 3% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Hyperliquid
66 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 34 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (32 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-12 | 2025-09-19 | $57.0943 | $58.6130 | +2.66% | 102.66 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025-10-04 | $44.8466 | $49.4921 | +10.36% | 113.29 |
| 2025-10-13 | 2025-10-20 | $39.7497 | $37.4117 | -5.88% | 106.63 |
| 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-31 | $40.1599 | $45.4380 | +13.14% | 120.64 |
| 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-13 | $41.3223 | $38.3048 | -7.30% | 111.83 |
| 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-01 | $31.7971 | $31.9166 | +0.38% | 112.25 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $33.8731 | $27.9467 | -17.50% | 92.61 |
| 2025-12-11 | 2025-12-18 | $28.8782 | $24.4726 | -15.26% | 78.49 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2025-12-27 | $24.8744 | $25.7837 | +3.66% | 81.35 |
| 2025-12-27 | 2026-01-03 | $25.7837 | $24.5861 | -4.64% | 77.58 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026-01-11 | $25.3589 | $24.1530 | -4.76% | 73.89 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $25.8407 | $21.0921 | -18.38% | 60.31 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026-01-31 | $22.7085 | $30.5759 | +34.65% | 81.20 |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-10 | $33.2521 | $31.3538 | -5.71% | 76.57 |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-20 | $31.1509 | $29.0772 | -6.66% | 71.47 |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026-02-28 | $30.4065 | $27.4017 | -9.88% | 64.41 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026-03-08 | $31.2755 | $30.3868 | -2.84% | 62.58 |
| 2026-03-10 | 2026-03-17 | $34.6599 | $40.7693 | +17.63% | 73.61 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $40.7693 | $37.3734 | -8.33% | 67.48 |
| 2026-03-25 | 2026-04-01 | $40.3380 | $36.4938 | -9.53% | 61.05 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $38.7571 | $43.5951 | +12.48% | 68.67 |
| 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | $41.1598 | $39.9505 | -2.94% | 66.65 |
| 2026-05-02 | 2026-05-09 | $41.1373 | $43.2521 | +5.14% | 70.08 |
| 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-22 | $44.1587 | $58.5893 | +32.68% | 92.98 |
| 2026-05-24 | 2026-05-31 | $58.6677 | $68.2502 | +16.33% | 108.16 |
| 2026-06-04 | 2026-06-11 | $74.5031 | $53.2596 | -28.51% | 77.32 |
| 2026-06-12 | 2026-06-19 | $58.9072 | $68.2646 | +15.89% | 89.60 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-07 | $66.7967 | $70.5673 | +5.64% | 94.66 |
| 2026-07-15 | 2026-07-22 | $65.4834 | $60.8324 | -7.10% | 87.94 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $55.8422 | $56.1521 | +0.55% | 88.43 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-25 | $59.4189 | $78.8814 | +32.75% | 117.39 |
| 2026-08-27 | 2026-09-03 | $82.2983 | $81.9163 | -0.46% | 116.84 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $87.4499 | $78.5568 | -10.17% | 104.96 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Hyperliquid · Read the full methodology