Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 3% One-Day Drop
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 3% one-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin
21 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 14 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (7 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-26 | 2025-10-03 | $40.4998 | $43.8584 | +8.29% | 108.29 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $51.9119 | $53.9930 | +4.01% | 112.63 |
| 2025-11-21 | 2025-11-28 | $56.9872 | $59.3942 | +4.22% | 117.39 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $53.7430 | $55.2416 | +2.79% | 120.67 |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026-01-26 | $53.2976 | $51.4612 | -3.45% | 116.51 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $50.8203 | $47.3491 | -6.83% | 108.55 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $47.3491 | $49.3735 | +4.28% | 113.19 |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-25 | $49.9625 | $47.4480 | -5.03% | 107.49 |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026-03-20 | $53.5962 | $53.6289 | +0.06% | 107.56 |
| 2026-03-20 | 2026-03-27 | $53.6289 | $51.2926 | -4.36% | 102.87 |
| 2026-03-27 | 2026-04-03 | $51.2926 | $51.2311 | -0.12% | 102.75 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $48.5807 | $50.9637 | +4.91% | 107.79 |
| 2026-08-29 | 2026-09-05 | $71.7529 | $73.2295 | +2.06% | 110.01 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin · Read the full methodology