Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 3% One-Day Drop
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 3% one-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for LEO Token
16 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (4 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | 2025-10-28 | $8.9803 | $9.3361 | +3.96% | 103.96 |
| 2025-11-07 | 2025-11-14 | $8.6747 | $9.1740 | +5.76% | 109.95 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2025-12-10 | $9.4843 | $9.6297 | +1.53% | 111.63 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-25 | $7.2240 | $8.1218 | +12.43% | 125.50 |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026-01-14 | $8.9723 | $9.0752 | +1.15% | 126.94 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-01-22 | $8.7017 | $8.8379 | +1.56% | 128.93 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $8.7779 | $7.7856 | -11.30% | 114.36 |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-19 | $8.3979 | $8.5109 | +1.35% | 115.90 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026-03-01 | $8.3544 | $8.8780 | +6.27% | 123.16 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $10.0428 | $9.7582 | -2.83% | 119.67 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $9.5566 | $9.6023 | +0.48% | 120.24 |
| 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-20 | $9.0768 | $9.3024 | +2.49% | 123.23 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for LEO Token · Read the full methodology