Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for XRP
50 historical signal(s) detected for XRP; 30 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (20 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | 2025-10-19 | $2.3839 | $2.3600 | -1.00% | 99.00 |
| 2025-11-06 | 2025-11-13 | $2.3425 | $2.3858 | +1.85% | 100.83 |
| 2025-11-16 | 2025-11-23 | $2.2301 | $1.9493 | -12.59% | 88.13 |
| 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-01 | $2.0463 | $2.1587 | +5.49% | 92.97 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $2.1587 | $2.0432 | -5.35% | 88.00 |
| 2025-12-11 | 2025-12-18 | $2.0429 | $1.8617 | -8.87% | 80.20 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-25 | $1.8617 | $1.8614 | -0.02% | 80.18 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026-01-06 | $1.8486 | $2.3538 | +27.33% | 102.09 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026-01-17 | $2.0992 | $2.0741 | -1.20% | 100.87 |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026-01-26 | $1.9624 | $1.8428 | -6.09% | 94.73 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $1.8159 | $1.2133 | -33.18% | 63.29 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $1.2133 | $1.3769 | +13.48% | 71.82 |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-20 | $1.3769 | $1.4225 | +3.31% | 74.20 |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026-03-01 | $1.4501 | $1.3880 | -4.28% | 71.03 |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026-03-14 | $1.3714 | $1.3988 | +2.00% | 72.45 |
| 2026-03-19 | 2026-03-26 | $1.4663 | $1.4232 | -2.93% | 70.32 |
| 2026-03-26 | 2026-04-02 | $1.4232 | $1.3484 | -5.26% | 66.63 |
| 2026-04-03 | 2026-04-10 | $1.3219 | $1.3450 | +1.74% | 67.79 |
| 2026-04-13 | 2026-04-20 | $1.3253 | $1.3957 | +5.31% | 71.39 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-28 | $1.4252 | $1.4040 | -1.49% | 70.33 |
| 2026-05-08 | 2026-05-15 | $1.3920 | $1.4826 | +6.51% | 74.90 |
| 2026-05-17 | 2026-05-24 | $1.4132 | $1.3543 | -4.16% | 71.78 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $1.2102 | $1.1369 | -6.06% | 67.43 |
| 2026-06-11 | 2026-06-18 | $1.0969 | $1.1858 | +8.11% | 72.90 |
| 2026-06-18 | 2026-06-25 | $1.1858 | $1.0728 | -9.53% | 65.95 |
| 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-02 | $1.0728 | $1.0509 | -2.05% | 64.60 |
| 2026-07-13 | 2026-07-20 | $1.0855 | $1.0968 | +1.04% | 65.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-04 | $1.0651 | $1.0746 | +0.89% | 65.86 |
| 2026-08-16 | 2026-08-23 | $1.0018 | $1.4638 | +46.11% | 96.23 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-12 | $1.3987 | $1.3558 | -3.07% | 93.27 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.