Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for TRON
50 historical signal(s) detected for TRON; 32 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (18 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-16 | 2025-09-23 | $0.3447 | $0.3401 | -1.35% | 98.65 |
| 2025-09-24 | 2025-10-01 | $0.3361 | $0.3335 | -0.76% | 97.90 |
| 2025-10-04 | 2025-10-11 | $0.3421 | $0.3208 | -6.22% | 91.81 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.3208 | $0.3091 | -3.63% | 88.47 |
| 2025-10-24 | 2025-10-31 | $0.3137 | $0.2924 | -6.79% | 82.46 |
| 2025-11-02 | 2025-11-09 | $0.2974 | $0.2914 | -2.02% | 80.80 |
| 2025-11-10 | 2025-11-17 | $0.2907 | $0.2921 | +0.51% | 81.21 |
| 2025-11-25 | 2025-12-02 | $0.2748 | $0.2769 | +0.79% | 81.85 |
| 2025-12-09 | 2025-12-16 | $0.2814 | $0.2782 | -1.12% | 80.93 |
| 2025-12-23 | 2025-12-30 | $0.2842 | $0.2847 | +0.14% | 81.05 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $0.2844 | $0.2981 | +4.83% | 84.97 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-01-22 | $0.3042 | $0.2992 | -1.64% | 83.58 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026-01-31 | $0.2974 | $0.2941 | -1.12% | 82.64 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $0.2862 | $0.2781 | -2.85% | 80.28 |
| 2026-02-09 | 2026-02-16 | $0.2780 | $0.2806 | +0.93% | 81.03 |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-26 | $0.2787 | $0.2853 | +2.35% | 82.93 |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-03-07 | $0.2830 | $0.2846 | +0.56% | 83.40 |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026-03-14 | $0.2846 | $0.2935 | +3.13% | 86.00 |
| 2026-03-16 | 2026-03-23 | $0.2986 | $0.3107 | +4.07% | 89.51 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-30 | $0.3107 | $0.3216 | +3.51% | 92.65 |
| 2026-04-06 | 2026-04-13 | $0.3274 | $0.3213 | -1.89% | 90.90 |
| 2026-04-13 | 2026-04-20 | $0.3213 | $0.3291 | +2.45% | 93.13 |
| 2026-04-24 | 2026-05-01 | $0.3289 | $0.3266 | -0.69% | 92.49 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $0.3677 | $0.3329 | -9.46% | 83.74 |
| 2026-06-23 | 2026-06-30 | $0.3337 | $0.3210 | -3.80% | 80.56 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-07 | $0.3210 | $0.3295 | +2.64% | 82.68 |
| 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-16 | $0.3282 | $0.3243 | -1.19% | 81.70 |
| 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $0.3267 | $0.3321 | +1.65% | 83.04 |
| 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-04 | $0.3249 | $0.3286 | +1.14% | 83.98 |
| 2026-08-05 | 2026-08-12 | $0.3271 | $0.3349 | +2.39% | 85.99 |
| 2026-08-19 | 2026-08-26 | $0.3327 | $0.3362 | +1.07% | 86.91 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-07 | $0.3360 | $0.3352 | -0.24% | 86.70 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.