Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Solana

60 historical signal(s) detected for Solana; 35 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (25 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades33
Win rate42.4%
Average return / trade-1.88%
Compounded total return-56.91%
Max drawdown-67.85%
Buy & hold, same period-57.08%

Hypothetical growth of $100

2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-09-20 2025-09-27 $238.5627 $204.8154 -14.15% 85.85
2025-09-27 2025-10-04 $204.8154 $233.0440 +13.78% 97.69
2025-10-08 2025-10-15 $220.3896 $202.5850 -8.08% 89.79
2025-10-16 2025-10-23 $193.9819 $180.0885 -7.16% 83.36
2025-10-23 2025-10-30 $180.0885 $194.0727 +7.77% 89.84
2025-10-31 2025-11-07 $184.4985 $155.0579 -15.96% 75.50
2025-11-11 2025-11-18 $167.3829 $130.8066 -21.85% 59.00
2025-11-22 2025-11-29 $128.5723 $137.4006 +6.87% 63.05
2025-12-06 2025-12-13 $133.2320 $132.3024 -0.70% 62.61
2025-12-13 2025-12-20 $132.3024 $126.1940 -4.62% 59.72
2025-12-30 2026-01-06 $123.1203 $138.0003 +12.09% 66.94
2026-01-10 2026-01-17 $135.8671 $144.9119 +6.66% 71.40
2026-01-19 2026-01-26 $135.5033 $118.6620 -12.43% 62.52
2026-01-30 2026-02-06 $117.8830 $78.4043 -33.49% 41.58
2026-02-12 2026-02-19 $79.5593 $81.7582 +2.76% 42.73
2026-02-22 2026-03-01 $85.4564 $84.6749 -0.91% 42.34
2026-03-01 2026-03-08 $84.6749 $83.6230 -1.24% 41.82
2026-03-14 2026-03-21 $88.1355 $89.8810 +1.98% 42.65
2026-03-22 2026-03-29 $86.9407 $82.1077 -5.56% 40.28
2026-04-03 2026-04-10 $79.0495 $83.3019 +5.38% 42.44
2026-04-19 2026-04-26 $86.1659 $86.1967 +0.04% 42.46
2026-04-27 2026-05-04 $86.9373 $83.8417 -3.56% 40.95
2026-05-14 2026-05-21 $91.1181 $86.0587 -5.55% 38.67
2026-05-21 2026-05-28 $86.0587 $82.3320 -4.33% 37.00
2026-05-28 2026-06-04 $82.3320 $71.5437 -13.10% 32.15
2026-06-11 2026-06-18 $63.1821 $71.9844 +13.93% 36.63
2026-06-20 2026-06-27 $69.6751 $71.8142 +3.07% 37.75
2026-07-08 2026-07-15 $80.5860 $77.8086 -3.45% 36.45
2026-07-23 2026-07-30 $77.9393 $73.6112 -5.55% 34.43
2026-08-07 2026-08-14 $72.6305 $76.2021 +4.92% 36.12
2026-08-16 2026-08-23 $75.2798 $93.8847 +24.71% 45.05
2026-08-28 2026-09-04 $109.1773 $103.9605 -4.78% 42.89
2026-09-05 2026-09-12 $101.9291 $102.3944 +0.46% 43.09

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Solana ยท Read the full methodology