Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for Hyperliquid

41 historical signal(s) detected for Hyperliquid; 26 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (15 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades26
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade+4.81%
Compounded total return+168.85%
Max drawdown-31.39%
Buy & hold, same period+112.90%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-16 2025-10-23 $37.4052 $36.2694 -3.04% 96.96
2025-10-29 2025-11-05 $47.7681 $39.1353 -18.07% 79.44
2025-11-27 2025-12-04 $36.2005 $34.6960 -4.16% 76.14
2025-12-16 2025-12-23 $27.5795 $24.8523 -9.89% 68.61
2026-01-02 2026-01-09 $24.1971 $25.6713 +6.09% 72.79
2026-01-10 2026-01-17 $25.1091 $25.1181 +0.04% 72.82
2026-01-23 2026-01-30 $21.5658 $30.7396 +42.54% 103.79
2026-02-01 2026-02-08 $31.0114 $31.4764 +1.50% 105.35
2026-02-14 2026-02-21 $31.6125 $30.4065 -3.82% 101.33
2026-02-28 2026-03-07 $27.4017 $31.0734 +13.40% 114.91
2026-03-12 2026-03-19 $36.2503 $42.0760 +16.07% 133.37
2026-03-19 2026-03-26 $42.0760 $40.3247 -4.16% 127.82
2026-03-29 2026-04-05 $39.4768 $36.3952 -7.81% 117.84
2026-04-07 2026-04-14 $36.2956 $44.4119 +22.36% 144.19
2026-04-15 2026-04-22 $43.5951 $39.7672 -8.78% 131.53
2026-04-23 2026-04-30 $41.1598 $39.9505 -2.94% 127.67
2026-05-10 2026-05-17 $42.9317 $41.7989 -2.64% 124.30
2026-05-19 2026-05-26 $47.7105 $61.1249 +28.12% 159.25
2026-05-27 2026-06-03 $59.4893 $69.7334 +17.22% 186.67
2026-06-07 2026-06-14 $56.5968 $60.6895 +7.23% 200.17
2026-06-15 2026-06-22 $63.8873 $66.9597 +4.81% 209.80
2026-06-27 2026-07-04 $64.3038 $70.6491 +9.87% 230.50
2026-07-09 2026-07-16 $67.5971 $66.8295 -1.14% 227.88
2026-07-17 2026-07-24 $60.6866 $57.5093 -5.24% 215.95
2026-07-25 2026-08-01 $57.4181 $52.5238 -8.52% 197.54
2026-08-19 2026-08-26 $58.5153 $79.6368 +36.10% 268.85

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for Hyperliquid ยท Read the full methodology