Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Chainlink
19 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 14 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-16 | 2025-09-23 | $23.5744 | $21.6716 | -8.07% | 91.93 |
| 2025-10-08 | 2025-10-15 | $21.8340 | $19.1197 | -12.43% | 80.50 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $12.9745 | $13.6391 | +5.12% | 84.62 |
| 2025-12-22 | 2025-12-29 | $12.4460 | $12.4758 | +0.24% | 84.83 |
| 2026-01-19 | 2026-01-26 | $13.6218 | $12.1012 | -11.16% | 75.36 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $8.2126 | $9.3755 | +14.16% | 86.03 |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-26 | $9.7970 | $9.7334 | -0.65% | 85.47 |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026-03-07 | $9.6244 | $9.7178 | +0.97% | 86.30 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026-03-15 | $10.1586 | $10.2835 | +1.23% | 87.36 |
| 2026-03-19 | 2026-03-26 | $9.8803 | $10.1328 | +2.56% | 89.59 |
| 2026-04-03 | 2026-04-10 | $8.6414 | $8.9480 | +3.55% | 92.77 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $9.1118 | $9.9964 | +9.71% | 101.78 |
| 2026-05-16 | 2026-05-23 | $10.0673 | $9.4113 | -6.52% | 95.15 |
| 2026-06-23 | 2026-06-30 | $7.8594 | $7.3665 | -6.27% | 89.18 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Chainlink · Read the full methodology