Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Cardano
43 historical signal(s) detected for Cardano; 26 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (17 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.6359 | $0.6247 | -1.76% | 98.24 |
| 2025-10-20 | 2025-10-27 | $0.6527 | $0.6812 | +4.37% | 102.54 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025-11-05 | $0.6460 | $0.5214 | -19.29% | 82.76 |
| 2025-11-11 | 2025-11-18 | $0.5923 | $0.4656 | -21.40% | 65.05 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $0.4148 | $0.4171 | +0.55% | 65.41 |
| 2025-12-12 | 2025-12-19 | $0.4253 | $0.3514 | -17.37% | 54.05 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $0.3333 | $0.4021 | +20.64% | 65.20 |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026-01-23 | $0.4038 | $0.3750 | -7.13% | 60.56 |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026-01-30 | $0.3750 | $0.3459 | -7.76% | 55.86 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $0.3459 | $0.2541 | -26.56% | 41.02 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $0.2541 | $0.2832 | +11.46% | 45.73 |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026-02-28 | $0.3021 | $0.2935 | -2.86% | 44.42 |
| 2026-03-03 | 2026-03-10 | $0.2870 | $0.2680 | -6.64% | 41.47 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $0.2788 | $0.2662 | -4.52% | 39.60 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2026-03-29 | $0.2882 | $0.2459 | -14.68% | 33.79 |
| 2026-04-07 | 2026-04-14 | $0.2457 | $0.2488 | +1.27% | 34.21 |
| 2026-04-27 | 2026-05-04 | $0.2523 | $0.2495 | -1.11% | 33.83 |
| 2026-05-16 | 2026-05-23 | $0.2615 | $0.2423 | -7.33% | 31.36 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2026-05-30 | $0.2423 | $0.2328 | -3.95% | 30.12 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $0.2127 | $0.1652 | -22.33% | 23.39 |
| 2026-06-14 | 2026-06-21 | $0.1717 | $0.1631 | -4.98% | 22.23 |
| 2026-06-28 | 2026-07-05 | $0.1451 | $0.1920 | +32.34% | 29.42 |
| 2026-07-11 | 2026-07-18 | $0.1666 | $0.1667 | +0.07% | 29.44 |
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-07-31 | $0.1684 | $0.1697 | +0.74% | 29.66 |
| 2026-08-19 | 2026-08-26 | $0.1744 | $0.2091 | +19.89% | 35.55 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.