Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After 3 Consecutive Negative Funding Intervals
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after 3 consecutive negative funding intervals, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Bitcoin
23 historical signal(s) detected for Bitcoin; 15 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (8 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | 2025-09-28 | $115722.8964 | $109675.1432 | -5.23% | 94.77 |
| 2025-10-16 | 2025-10-23 | $110844.4042 | $107591.4605 | -2.93% | 91.99 |
| 2025-11-24 | 2025-12-01 | $86740.1177 | $90359.8687 | +4.17% | 95.83 |
| 2026-02-03 | 2026-02-10 | $78670.5892 | $70175.1475 | -10.80% | 85.48 |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-19 | $67090.5793 | $66426.6195 | -0.99% | 84.64 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $67850.1052 | $72752.3016 | +7.23% | 90.75 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026-03-15 | $67339.6744 | $71149.2824 | +5.66% | 95.89 |
| 2026-03-18 | 2026-03-25 | $74004.6908 | $70528.8635 | -4.70% | 91.38 |
| 2026-03-28 | 2026-04-04 | $66329.8819 | $66822.5523 | +0.74% | 92.06 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2026-04-18 | $72920.2549 | $77125.7336 | +5.77% | 97.37 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2026-04-25 | $77125.7336 | $77447.6176 | +0.42% | 97.78 |
| 2026-04-28 | 2026-05-05 | $77366.7844 | $79825.8751 | +3.18% | 100.88 |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-12 | $79825.8751 | $81627.5660 | +2.26% | 103.16 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $60960.1014 | $63532.2778 | +4.22% | 107.51 |
| 2026-06-14 | 2026-06-21 | $64408.8098 | $64253.3987 | -0.24% | 107.26 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.