Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for XRP
14 historical signal(s) detected for XRP; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $2.3701 | $2.2959 | -3.13% | 96.87 |
| 2026-01-06 | 2026-01-13 | $2.3538 | $2.0605 | -12.46% | 84.80 |
| 2026-01-22 | 2026-01-29 | $1.9553 | $1.9246 | -1.57% | 83.47 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $1.6552 | $1.4284 | -13.70% | 72.03 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-24 | $1.4536 | $1.4395 | -0.97% | 71.33 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $1.4733 | $1.4008 | -4.92% | 67.82 |
| 2026-05-23 | 2026-05-30 | $1.3324 | $1.3289 | -0.26% | 67.65 |
| 2026-06-03 | 2026-06-10 | $1.2102 | $1.1369 | -6.06% | 63.55 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $1.1051 | $1.4225 | +28.71% | 81.79 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $1.4513 | $1.3340 | -8.08% | 75.18 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.