Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin

21 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 15 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades15
Win rate86.7%
Average return / trade+4.41%
Compounded total return+85.41%
Max drawdown-3.98%
Buy & hold, same period+87.01%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-11 2025-10-18 $42.3741 $40.6859 -3.98% 96.02
2025-10-18 2025-10-25 $40.6859 $42.2533 +3.85% 99.72
2025-11-04 2025-11-11 $53.9293 $55.1219 +2.21% 101.92
2025-11-15 2025-11-22 $52.3430 $57.0967 +9.08% 111.18
2025-11-22 2025-11-29 $57.0967 $58.7993 +2.98% 114.49
2026-01-21 2026-01-28 $52.6169 $52.8160 +0.38% 114.92
2026-01-31 2026-02-07 $50.6412 $52.4036 +3.48% 118.92
2026-05-05 2026-05-12 $59.3813 $60.0492 +1.12% 120.26
2026-06-27 2026-07-04 $48.4377 $56.5519 +16.75% 140.41
2026-07-25 2026-08-01 $55.8732 $54.8184 -1.89% 137.76
2026-08-03 2026-08-10 $55.2825 $56.0580 +1.40% 139.69
2026-08-11 2026-08-18 $55.1555 $55.6467 +0.89% 140.93
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $59.5563 $73.1488 +22.82% 173.10
2026-08-28 2026-09-04 $73.9808 $74.0742 +0.13% 173.32
2026-09-04 2026-09-11 $74.0742 $79.2440 +6.98% 185.41

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin ยท Read the full methodology