Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Stellar
14 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (2 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.3199 | $0.3087 | -3.52% | 96.48 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025-11-05 | $0.3181 | $0.2699 | -15.15% | 81.86 |
| 2026-01-06 | 2026-01-13 | $0.2534 | $0.2193 | -13.47% | 70.83 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026-01-22 | $0.2370 | $0.2131 | -10.09% | 63.69 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026-02-14 | $0.1784 | $0.1646 | -7.75% | 58.75 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2026-05-18 | $0.1695 | $0.1492 | -11.96% | 51.72 |
| 2026-05-28 | 2026-06-04 | $0.1636 | $0.2089 | +27.63% | 66.02 |
| 2026-06-16 | 2026-06-23 | $0.2134 | $0.2025 | -5.12% | 62.63 |
| 2026-07-05 | 2026-07-12 | $0.2066 | $0.1863 | -9.80% | 56.49 |
| 2026-08-21 | 2026-08-28 | $0.1816 | $0.1875 | +3.26% | 58.33 |
| 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-15 | $0.1935 | $0.1916 | -0.99% | 57.76 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.