Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 2x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 2x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Dogecoin
14 historical signal(s) detected for Dogecoin; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (3 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.1937 | $0.1848 | -4.61% | 95.39 |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026-01-10 | $0.1421 | $0.1409 | -0.84% | 94.59 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $0.1045 | $0.0986 | -5.61% | 89.28 |
| 2026-02-16 | 2026-02-23 | $0.1029 | $0.0938 | -8.88% | 81.36 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $0.0994 | $0.0930 | -6.47% | 76.09 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $0.1029 | $0.0946 | -8.09% | 69.94 |
| 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-22 | $0.0931 | $0.0952 | +2.26% | 71.52 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $0.1041 | $0.1125 | +8.04% | 77.27 |
| 2026-06-06 | 2026-06-13 | $0.0815 | $0.0860 | +5.50% | 81.52 |
| 2026-08-21 | 2026-08-28 | $0.0805 | $0.0891 | +10.80% | 90.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $0.0878 | $0.0829 | -5.62% | 85.25 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Dogecoin · Read the full methodology