Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 15% Seven-Day Drop
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 15% seven-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Sui
14 historical signal(s) detected for Sui; 13 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (1 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-26 | 2025-10-03 | $3.1331 | $3.5866 | +14.47% | 114.47 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $2.6108 | $2.4397 | -6.55% | 106.97 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $2.0682 | $2.1634 | +4.60% | 111.89 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $1.7415 | $1.3902 | -20.17% | 89.32 |
| 2025-12-19 | 2025-12-26 | $1.3466 | $1.3624 | +1.17% | 90.37 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026-01-28 | $1.4932 | $1.4615 | -2.12% | 88.45 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $1.1701 | $1.0248 | -12.42% | 77.47 |
| 2026-02-10 | 2026-02-17 | $0.9638 | $1.0236 | +6.20% | 82.27 |
| 2026-05-18 | 2026-05-25 | $1.0438 | $1.0308 | -1.24% | 81.25 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $0.9288 | $0.7663 | -17.49% | 67.04 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $0.7663 | $0.7540 | -1.61% | 65.96 |
| 2026-08-31 | 2026-09-07 | $0.7109 | $0.8116 | +14.15% | 75.29 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.