Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 15% 30-Day Correction
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 15% 30-day correction, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Stellar
20 historical signal(s) detected for Stellar; 15 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (5 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.3199 | $0.3087 | -3.52% | 96.48 |
| 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-06 | $0.3159 | $0.2801 | -11.33% | 85.55 |
| 2025-11-12 | 2025-11-19 | $0.2815 | $0.2559 | -9.11% | 77.76 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2025-12-08 | $0.2484 | $0.2371 | -4.56% | 74.21 |
| 2025-12-08 | 2025-12-15 | $0.2371 | $0.2294 | -3.21% | 71.83 |
| 2025-12-16 | 2025-12-23 | $0.2205 | $0.2204 | -0.06% | 71.78 |
| 2025-12-25 | 2026-01-01 | $0.2121 | $0.2011 | -5.19% | 68.06 |
| 2026-01-02 | 2026-01-09 | $0.2086 | $0.2303 | +10.42% | 75.15 |
| 2026-02-02 | 2026-02-09 | $0.1751 | $0.1616 | -7.71% | 69.36 |
| 2026-03-09 | 2026-03-16 | $0.1482 | $0.1694 | +14.26% | 79.25 |
| 2026-05-21 | 2026-05-28 | $0.1437 | $0.1636 | +13.90% | 90.27 |
| 2026-06-29 | 2026-07-06 | $0.1726 | $0.2032 | +17.75% | 106.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | 2026-07-25 | $0.1855 | $0.1778 | -4.14% | 101.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | 2026-08-11 | $0.1712 | $0.1613 | -5.77% | 96.02 |
| 2026-08-15 | 2026-08-22 | $0.1581 | $0.2018 | +27.68% | 122.60 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.