Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 10% Seven-Day Drop

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 10% seven-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin

2 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 2 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades2
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade+1.45%
Compounded total return+2.81%
Max drawdown-2.00%
Buy & hold, same period+2.14%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2026-01-25 2026-02-01 $49.8970 $48.8986 -2.00% 98.00
2026-06-03 2026-06-10 $48.5807 $50.9637 +4.91% 102.81

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin ยท Read the full methodology