Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 10% One-Day Rise

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 10% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin

6 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 6 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades6
Win rate50.0%
Average return / trade+2.44%
Compounded total return+14.09%
Max drawdown-8.71%
Buy & hold, same period+52.38%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-11-01 2025-11-08 $47.0869 $54.0166 +14.72% 114.72
2025-11-19 2025-11-26 $61.3874 $58.0783 -5.39% 108.53
2026-02-07 2026-02-14 $52.4036 $50.5664 -3.51% 104.73
2026-06-10 2026-06-17 $50.9637 $53.8487 +5.66% 110.66
2026-07-01 2026-07-08 $53.9198 $56.2468 +4.32% 115.43
2026-08-22 2026-08-29 $72.5981 $71.7529 -1.16% 114.09

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin ยท Read the full methodology