Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 10% One-Day Rise

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 10% one-day rise, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for LEO Token

2 historical signal(s) detected for LEO Token; 2 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades2
Win rate100.0%
Average return / trade+6.38%
Compounded total return+13.17%
Max drawdown0.00%
Buy & hold, same period+5.31%

Hypothetical growth of $100

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-12-20 2025-12-27 $7.9756 $8.4957 +6.52% 106.52
2026-02-07 2026-02-14 $7.9056 $8.3992 +6.24% 113.17

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for LEO Token ยท Read the full methodology