Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 10% One-Day Drop

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 10% one-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for TRON

0 historical signal(s) detected for TRON; 0 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades0
Win rateโ€”
Average return / tradeโ€”
Compounded total returnโ€”
Max drawdownโ€”
Buy & hold, same periodโ€”

Hypothetical growth of $100

Not enough completed trades yet to plot an equity curve.

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
No completed trades for this asset and hold period yet.

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for TRON ยท Read the full methodology