Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 10% One-Day Drop
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 10% one-day drop, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Chainlink
4 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 4 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (0 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $17.3508 | $16.6196 | -4.21% | 95.79 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2025-11-11 | $15.2322 | $16.3589 | +7.40% | 102.87 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $8.2126 | $9.3755 | +14.16% | 117.44 |
| 2026-03-28 | 2026-04-04 | $8.5574 | $8.6597 | +1.20% | 118.84 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Chainlink · Read the full methodology