Historical rule simulator

Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike

Simulates one mechanical rule โ€” buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit โ€” using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.

Rule results for WhiteBIT Coin

31 historical signal(s) detected for WhiteBIT Coin; 22 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (9 skipped because a position was already open).

Completed trades20
Win rate70.0%
Average return / trade+3.11%
Compounded total return+77.54%
Max drawdown-5.21%
Buy & hold, same period+80.55%

Hypothetical growth of $100

2 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.

Entry dateExit dateEntry priceExit priceTrade returnEquity after
2025-10-11 2025-10-18 $42.3741 $40.6859 -3.98% 96.02
2025-10-21 2025-10-28 $41.8775 $42.9907 +2.66% 98.57
2025-11-04 2025-11-11 $53.9293 $55.1219 +2.21% 100.75
2025-11-14 2025-11-21 $53.6852 $56.9872 +6.15% 106.94
2025-12-02 2025-12-09 $57.8819 $61.1003 +5.56% 112.89
2026-01-21 2026-01-28 $52.6169 $52.8160 +0.38% 113.32
2026-01-31 2026-02-07 $50.6412 $52.4036 +3.48% 117.26
2026-02-10 2026-02-17 $52.8095 $51.8223 -1.87% 115.07
2026-03-05 2026-03-12 $51.6923 $55.4176 +7.21% 123.36
2026-03-24 2026-03-31 $54.1720 $51.3504 -5.21% 116.94
2026-04-08 2026-04-15 $53.6154 $54.4639 +1.58% 118.79
2026-04-21 2026-04-28 $54.7747 $54.6169 -0.29% 118.45
2026-05-01 2026-05-08 $57.1763 $58.9176 +3.05% 122.05
2026-05-08 2026-05-15 $58.9176 $59.4562 +0.91% 123.17
2026-05-15 2026-05-22 $59.4562 $57.1294 -3.91% 118.35
2026-06-27 2026-07-04 $48.4377 $56.5519 +16.75% 138.17
2026-07-25 2026-08-01 $55.8732 $54.8184 -1.89% 135.57
2026-08-11 2026-08-18 $55.1555 $55.6467 +0.89% 136.77
2026-08-20 2026-08-27 $59.5563 $73.1488 +22.82% 167.99
2026-09-01 2026-09-08 $72.3924 $76.5075 +5.68% 177.54

How this backtest works

Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.

View the full study for WhiteBIT Coin ยท Read the full methodology