Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for TRON
18 historical signal(s) detected for TRON; 12 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.3208 | $0.3091 | -3.63% | 96.37 |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-07 | $0.2924 | $0.2837 | -3.00% | 93.48 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025-11-22 | $0.2925 | $0.2764 | -5.51% | 88.32 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $0.2764 | $0.2811 | +1.71% | 89.83 |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026-01-24 | $0.3088 | $0.2974 | -3.69% | 86.52 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $0.2941 | $0.2738 | -6.91% | 80.55 |
| 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-30 | $0.3107 | $0.3216 | +3.51% | 83.38 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $0.3252 | $0.3300 | +1.48% | 84.61 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $0.3525 | $0.3322 | -5.76% | 79.74 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $0.3322 | $0.3166 | -4.71% | 75.98 |
| 2026-08-21 | 2026-08-28 | $0.3374 | $0.3377 | +0.09% | 76.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2026-09-09 | $0.3222 | $0.3388 | +5.16% | 79.97 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.