Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Solana
15 historical signal(s) detected for Solana; 11 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (4 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $188.7926 | $182.1459 | -3.52% | 96.48 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $128.5723 | $137.4006 | +6.87% | 103.10 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-20 | $139.0723 | $133.4132 | -4.07% | 98.91 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $117.4775 | $86.9776 | -25.96% | 73.23 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $91.0730 | $86.5582 | -4.96% | 69.60 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $95.8931 | $91.6200 | -4.46% | 66.50 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $85.7378 | $83.8194 | -2.24% | 65.01 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-24 | $89.0959 | $86.1401 | -3.32% | 62.85 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $68.8109 | $66.8166 | -2.90% | 61.03 |
| 2026-06-27 | 2026-07-04 | $71.8142 | $82.2912 | +14.59% | 69.94 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $85.3331 | $102.0489 | +19.59% | 83.64 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.